Evolution of Economic Thought

 

Classical Economic Analysis After Adam Smith

 

A Couple of Side - Liners:  Bentham and Malthus

 

 

During the 40 years that followed the publication of An Inquiry Into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, no consistent attempt was made to elaborate or to modify the teachings of Adam Smith.

 

However, Classical economic analysis continued to "grow" from Adam Smith (or in some cases the analysis criticized Smith) - most especially from Jeremy Bentham, Thomas Malthus, David Ricardo, J. B. Say, J.S. Mill, Frederic Bastiat and others.

 

The challenge to elaborate on this new economic doctrine originated in the desire of some social philosophers to adjust economics, now conceived of as an independent science, to the principles of refined utilitarian teachings.

 

 

The basic person here is Jeremy Bentham (1748-1832)

 

 

Bentham was born in London, into a wealthy family. He was a child prodigy and was found as a toddler sitting at his father's desk reading a multi-volume history of England. He began his study of Latin at the age of three.  He trained as a lawyer.

 

Weird Side Note:  As requested in his will, his body was preserved and stored in a wooden cabinet, termed his "Auto-Icon," at University College London. The Auto-Icon is kept on public display at the end of the South Cloisters in the main building of the College.

The Auto-Icon has always had a wax head, as Bentham's head was badly damaged in the preservation process. The real head was displayed in the same case for many years, but became the target of repeated student pranks including being stolen on more than one occasion. It is now locked away securely.

 

 

Create all the happiness you are able to create; remove all the misery you are able to remove. Every day will allow you, --will invite you to add something to the pleasure of others, --or to diminish something of their pains. And for every grain of enjoyment you sow in the bosom of another, you shall find a harvest in your own bosom, --while every sorrow which you pluck out from the thoughts and feelings of a fellow creature shall be replaced by beautiful flowers of peace and joy in the sanctuary of your soul.
Advise to a young girl, June 22, 1830

 

 

 

 

According to Bentham utilitarian teachings started from certain psychological propositions believed to be forever valid.

 

The essence of these teachings was the maximization of happiness – as the goal of any public policy.

 

 

The idea of utility – or even utility "maximization" – (increasing ones utility means acting in one's own self-interest) can be interpreted in two different ways.

 

 

1)    Natural identity of interests – (Adam Smith and David Hume)  The individual self-interests of human nature harmonize of their own accord in a free economy – thus they prescribed laissez-faire…we didn’t have to worry about directing the self-interests of individuals – because the social interest would follow naturally.

 

 

2)    Artificial identity of interests – (Bentham)   Although individuals are mainly self-interested – he denied the natural harmony.

 

 

 

Crime, for example, is a case in point….self-interested behavior that goes against the public interest.

 

 

Government:  Therefore—the interest of each individual must coincide with the general interest – and it was the business of government to bring about this coincidence of interest.

 

 

This came to be known as utilitarianism.

 

Bentham basically made little distinction between morals and legislation.  He wanted to make the theory of morals and legislation scientific as in the Newtonian sense.

 

Newton’s discoveries in physics were based upon the universal principle of attraction (gravity) – Bentham’s theory of morals swung on the Principle of Utility.

 

Newton influenced the social sciences a great deal – especially with regard to measuring things!

 

 

Welfare Economics:  Thus – if pleasure and pain could be measured – then every legislative act could be judged on welfare considerations.

 

Here is where we really have the beginning of welfare economics judging legislation based on the costs/benefits to different groups in society!!

 

 

But in order to do this Bentham needed a standard of efficiency – so to speak – or what it would mean for something to be in the “general interest” or in the “interest of society.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bentham:  the general interest is measured by the sum of the individual interests in the community.

 

This was considered both:

1.     democratic – everyone counted and

2.     egalitarian – everyone counted equally.

 

This led Bentham to his:  felicific (happiness) calculus summing up of collective pleasures and pains.

 

1780 – Introduction to the Principles of Morals and Legislation – he describes the circumstances by which the values of pleasure and pain were to be measured.

 

For the community, they consist of the following seven factors: 

 

(1)     Intensity of pleasure or pain

(2)     Its duration

(3)     Its certainty or uncertainty

(4)     Its propinquity (closeness) or remoteness

(5)     Its fecundity (fruitfulness) – or the chance it has of being followed by sensations of the same kind

(6)     Its purity – or the chance it has of not being followed by sensations of the opposite kind

(7)     Its extent, i.e. the number of people who are affected by it.

 

Then Bentham spelled out how to calculate the welfare of society.

 

“To take an exact account, then, of the general tendency of any act, by which the interests of the community are affected, proceed as follows:”

 

Begin with any one person of those whose interests seem most immediately to be affected by it:  and take an account,

 

1.    Of the value of each distinguishable pleasure which appears to be produced by it in the first instance.

2.    Of the value of each pain which appears to be produced by it in the first instance.

3.    Of the value of each pleasure which appears to be produced by it after the first.  This constitutes the fecundity of the first pleasure and impurity of the first pain.

4.    Of the value of each pain which appears to be produced by it after the first.  This constitutes the fecundity of the first pain and the impurity of the first pleasure.

5.    Sum up all the values of all the pleasures on the one side, and those of all the pains on the other.  The balance, if it be on the side of pleasure, will give the good tendency of the act upon the whole, with respect to the interests of that individual person; if on the side of pain, the bad tendency of it upon the whole.

6.    Take an account of the number of persons whose interests appear to be concerned; and repeat the above process with respect to each.  Sum up the numbers expressive of degrees of good tendency . . . in regard to . . . the whole:  do this again with respect to each individual, in regard to whom the tendency of it is bad upon the whole.  Take the balance; which, if on the side of pleasure, will give the general good tendency of the act . . . if on the side of pain, the general evil tendency with respect to the same community (Principles of Morals and Legislation, pp 30-31).

 

Bentham anticipated criticism of the impracticability of his welfare theory.  He knew there were problems, but he wanted legislators and administrators always to keep the theory in view, “for as close as the actual process of evaluation comes to it, the nearer it will be to an exact measure.”

 

 

 

 

 

Problems or criticisms (they are not mutually exclusive):

 

(1)     Interpersonal utility comparisons are impossible.  Bentham recognized a problem with this but said that such comparisons must be made for social reform. In his analysis - basically everyone's utility was the same in any given circumstance.  So Bob can be compared to Betty.

 

 

(2)     Weighing of qualitative measures is impossible.  Therefore, like many other economists, even of today, he resorted to money as the best available measure of utility….which is poor.

 

 

(3)     The fallacy of composition (what is true for the individual is true for the group) . . .logical fallacy to assume that the collective interest is the sum of the interests of individuals.  What does “the collective interest” mean?  Does it have meaning at all?

 

Car safety devices example – supposedly in the "general interest" to have cars with safety devices.  Yet individuals do not find it in their interest to have them (perceived costs greater than perceived benefits).  Therefore, the general interest is not a sum of individual interests.

 

 

(4)     This theory basically assumes that the ends justify the means (as long as "social utility" is increased, the means are "good" for society).  Not all would agree that that is a moral argument.

 

 

On philosophical grounds Bentham’s view of human nature is essentially passive – people simply act out of search for pleasure to avoid pain.

 

There are no “bad” motives or “moral” deficiencies – only “bad” calculations.  But education is the key – so utilitarians always push education.

 

We’ll see that James Mill and J.S. Mill were very much influenced by Bentham and Utilitarianism.

 

Another important area of study arose after Smith – that of population.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Thomas Malthus 1766-1834)

The Principles of Population

 

Portrait of Malthus

 

The Setting:

 

Adam Smith had assumed that the “state of propagation” in the different countries of the world was regulated in an almost mechanical way by the “demand for men.”  He pointed out the rapid increase in population in North America, as compared to the “slow and gradual” increase in Europe and “altogether stationary” conditions of China.

 

Toward the end of the 18th century – discussion of population problems entered a new phase when we have the entry of the “utilitarian anarchists.”  This group of writers started their considerations from some principles of a “natural law” – such as equality of all men and individual liberty.

 

From these premises they derived the view that all evils which had befallen society were due to restrictions imposed on the free exercise of the natural law – and especially to the unequal distribution of goods.

 

They wanted egalitarian, agrarian communities where social problems could be alleviated.

 

 

Then enters William Godwin:  He is considered one of the first exponents of utilitarianism and the first modern proponent of anarchism (absence of government - NOT absence of law).  He is also famous (and also attacked) for marrying the pioneering feminist writer Mary Wollstonecraft in 1797 and for writing his candid biography of her after her death. Their daughter, Mary Godwin (later Mary Shelley) would go on to write Frankenstein and marry the poet Percy Bysshe Shelley.

 

William Godwin by Henry William Pickersgill.jpg

 

In a treatise published toward the end of the century – 1793 – An Enquiry Concerning Political Justice and Its Influence on General Virtue and HappinessWilliam Godwin (1756-1836) undertook to disprove that proposition and to demonstrate that equal distribution of property, especially in land, would remove the existing barrier to the full operation of competitive forces and open unlimited prospects of economic progress.

 

Therefore -  perfectibility of mankind through progress in education and technology.

 

Also included:

 

Marquuis de Marie-Jean Condorcet (French philosopher 1743-1794) was also much of a utopian anarchist. He was a French philosopher, mathematician, and early political scientist (came up with the Condorcet method in voting).

 

Unlike many of his contemporaries, he advocated free markets, free and equal public education, constitutionalism and equal rights for women and people of all races.

 

He was very good friends with our buddy Turgot.  His political ideas, many of them like Turgot's, were often criticized heavily in the English-speaking world, most notably by John Adams who wrote two of his principal works of political philosophy to oppose Turgot and Condorcet's "radical ideas."

 

Nicolas de Condorcet.PNG

 

He argued that expanding knowledge in the natural and social sciences would lead to an ever more just world of individual freedom, material affluence, and moral compassion. 

 

He thought that history would progress naturally “toward truth and well being.” 

 

 

Therefore -  perfectibility of mankind through progress in education and technology.

 

The advocacy of such anarchic schemes of social relationships provided the starting point for the famous Essay on Population in 1798 by Reverend T.R. Malthus.

 

 

Thus the complete title:

 

An Essay on the Principle of Population as it Affects the Future Improvement of Society, with Remarks on the speculations of Mr. Godwin, M. Condorcet, and other Writers.

 

Malthus basically undertook to collect sufficient material to demonstrate the validity of the formula concerning the tendency of the population to increase at a geometrical ratio as contrasted with the increase in the food supply at an arithmetic ratio.

 

First:

 

Food is necessary to the existence of man.

 

Second:

 

The passion between the sexes is necessary and will remain nearly in its present state.

 

Two propositions:  (Both based on the idea that the human race develops because of one instinct, the sexual desire.)  This was in some degree in conflict with Smith’s self-interest proposition – so they kept each other in check.

 

(1)    Population, when unchecked, increases in a geometrical progression of such a nature as to double itself every 25 years.”

 

This was not the maximum growth rate or necessarily the actual rate.  But the existence of a potential growth rate of population that advanced in geometric progression. 1 - 2 - 4 - 8 -16 . . .

 

(2)     Under even the most favorable circumstances, the means of subsistence (food supply) cannot possibly increase faster than in arithmetic progression.

 

1 - 2 - 3 - 4- 5- 6 . . .

 

Thus there was a discrepancy --

 

So “the increase of the human species can only be kept down to the level of the means of subsistence by the constant operation of the strong law of necessity, acting as a check upon the greater power.”

So what were the actual checks on population growth?

And what can we do about it or which checks should be OK and which aren’t: 

 

ultimate check on population = food supply  -- but there are others:

 

Positive checks                                              Preventive checks

(factors increasing deaths)                           (factors reducing births)

 

          War                                                            Moral restraint

          Famine                                                       Contraception

          Pestilence   (disease)                                  Abortion

 

His theory tells us that population will increase whenever the cumulative effect of the various checks is less than that of procreation; that it will decrease whenever the cumulative effect of the checks is greater than that of procreation – and that will remain unchanged whenever combined effects of the checks and of procreation are self-canceling.

 

 

Subsistence Economy:

 

This all led to the theory of a subsistence economy….since he asserted the tendency to procreate would dominate the cumulative effect of the checks in force.

 

Malthus placed a lot of emphasis on methods of moral restraint as means of controlling the movement of the population.

 

 

 

 

Criticisms

 

1.   People’s endeavors to improve their standard of living constituted an important factor in counteracting the tendency of the population to increase above the means of subsistence. 

(Other checks – example separate sex and procreation).

 

2.  Ignored and/or underestimated the increase in agricultural technology.

 

3.  Not much evidence to support his theory.

 

Can you think of others?  What about supporting ideas?

 

 

DO ICE TEN